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J·BJon BishopIndependent growth marketer

Buyer behavior · Randomized controlled field experiment with causal mediation analysis.

How Do Recommender Systems Lead to Consumer Purchases? A Causal Mediation Analysis of a Field Experiment

Information Systems Research · 2022

Xingyu Li, Jens Grahl, Oliver Hinz

Summary

Personalized recommendations increased purchase propensity 12.4% and basket value 1.7%; effects were largely mediated by consideration-set changes, especially breadth.

For your marketing

Possible founder application

Use to shape a locally controlled channel or message test; account for audience, timing and attribution limits before reallocating budget.

Reported result

What the study found

Personalized recommendations increased purchase propensity 12.4% and basket value 1.7%; effects were largely mediated by consideration-set changes, especially breadth.

Research question

What the authors investigated

Through what causal paths do personalized recommendations induce purchases?

Design

Randomized controlled field experiment with causal mediation analysis.

Sample and setting

Website of an online book retailer; consumer purchase behavior and consideration-set breadth/depth.

Scope and transfer

Limitations to keep in view

Online-book-retailer context; publisher abstract does not establish effects for other categories or platforms.

Research sources

Publisher abstract reports design, setting, quantified effects and mediation mechanism. Direct publisher-page retrieval was recorded on 2026-10-09; this profile uses the publisher abstract/metadata and does not claim independent review of unavailable full text.

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