Advertising · Individual-level attribution model validated in a field study
Attributing Conversions in a Multichannel Online Marketing Environment: An Empirical Model and a Field Experiment
Journal of Marketing Research · 2014
Summary
Attribution based on estimated channel effects differed significantly from common metrics.
For your marketing
Possible founder application
A useful framework for considering channel sequence, carryover, and retargeting harm when last-click reports over-credit later touches. Pair modeled attribution with holdouts where feasible.
Reported result
What the study found
Attribution based on estimated channel effects differed significantly from common metrics. The model also identified cases where retargeting could decrease conversion probability.
Research question
What the authors investigated
How can channel contribution be estimated while accounting for customer consideration, visits, carryover, and cross-channel effects?
Design
Proposes an individual-level multichannel model and validates estimated incremental channel effects with a field study.
Sample and setting
Individual customer touchpoint histories and subsequent website purchases; the accessible abstract does not give sample size or business category.
Scope and transfer
Limitations to keep in view
The abstract provides limited detail on the validation sample and assumptions. Attribution depends on the model and available touchpoint data and should not be treated as a randomized causal result for every channel.
Research sources
SAGE publisher abstract retrieved with Firecrawl; full text and further design details were not inspected.