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J·BJon BishopIndependent growth marketer

A curated scientific evidence directory

Advertising studies

Explore peer-reviewed field experiments and meta-analyses on SaaS trials, email, paid search, referrals, content sharing and choice design. Compare methods, context and limits.

357 studies19 topics

50 studies match your filters

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AdvertisingEmail marketing
Evidence check: 4.0/5

Personalization in Email Marketing: The Role of Noninformative Advertising Content

Marketing Science · 2018

For your marketing

A strong example of testing a narrowly defined personalization change with downstream outcomes. For a current campaign, randomize the treatment and measure outcomes that matter beyond opens.

Plain-English take

In the main experiment, adding the recipient’s name to the subject line raised the open probability from 9.05% to 10.80%, increased sales leads from 0.39% to 0.51%, and reduced unsubscribes from 1.2% to 1.0%.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4.5/5

Consumer Heterogeneity and Paid Search Effectiveness: A Large-Scale Field Experiment

Econometrica · 2015

For your marketing

Shows why platform-attributed conversions can overstate incrementality and why brand and non-brand traffic, user familiarity and holdout design should be analyzed separately.

Plain-English take

The study found little measurable short-run benefit from brand-keyword ads in this study.

AdvertisingPricing
Evidence check: 3.5/5

Do Targeted Discount Offers Serve as Advertising? Evidence from 70 Field Experiments

Management Science · 2017

For your marketing

Measure discount-induced acquisition and spillovers separately from subsidized purchases. Include margin, timing shifts and post-promotion behavior when judging whether offers function as profitable advertising.

Plain-English take

During the offer period, offers increased average expenditure by $3.03 (37.2%).

Advertising
Evidence check: 2.5/5

The Impact of Online Display Advertising and Paid Search Advertising Relative to Offline Advertising on Firm Performance and Firm Value

International Journal of Research in Marketing · 2020

For your marketing

Separate near-term sales objectives from longer-horizon brand or firm-value goals when comparing channels. Treat the study as context for measurement choices, not a universal channel ranking.

Plain-English take

Paid search had a more positive effect on sales than offline advertising, while display advertising had a relatively more positive effect on Tobin's q than offline advertising, consistent with different short- and long-run economic roles.

AdvertisingPricing
Evidence check: 3.0/5

Cross-Category Demand Effects of Price Promotions

Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science · 2012

For your marketing

When promoting one tier or feature, examine whether demand shifts across the rest of the portfolio. For software, test the analogous upgrade, downgrade and add-on outcomes rather than importing retail estimates.

Plain-English take

About half of the promotions expanded own-category revenue, particularly deeper supported discounts.

AcquisitionAdvertising
Evidence check: 2.5/5

Measuring the Lifetime Value of Customers Acquired from Google Search Advertising

Marketing Science · 2011

For your marketing

Track customer lifetime across channels when estimating paid-search value. Include repeat purchases and offline or sales-assisted spillovers instead of stopping at a platform-attributed conversion.

Plain-English take

Customers acquired through Google search advertising had higher transaction rates than customers from other channels in this study.

AcquisitionAdvertising
Evidence check: 2.5/5

Customer Acquisition Promotions and Customer Asset Value

Journal of Marketing Research · 2006

For your marketing

Compare the long-term value of discounted and full-price cohorts, accounting for selection and acquisition cost. A lower initial conversion cost can bring customers with weaker repeat economics.

Plain-English take

In both datasets, deeper acquisition discounts were associated with lower repeat-buying rates and lower customer asset value.

AdvertisingContent marketing
Evidence check: 3.5/5

Social Media Marketing for Businesses: Organic Promotions of Web-Links on Facebook

Journal of Business Research · 2021

For your marketing

A concrete example of testing small post-format decisions against business outcomes. Re-run the comparison on your current platform and audience before adopting it.

Plain-English take

The experiment reports that placing the web link in the comments rather than the caption was more lucrative in the studied campaign.

AdvertisingFree trialsSales
Evidence check: 3.5/5

The Effects of Free Sample Promotions on Incremental Brand Sales

Marketing Science · 2004

For your marketing

Separate new demand from timing shifts and substitution when evaluating free access. Define incremental outcomes and follow customers long enough to see whether a free experience creates durable adoption.

Plain-English take

Unlike coupons, the studied free samples produced measurable long-term sales effects observable up to 12 months later.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4.5/5

A Comparison of Approaches to Advertising Measurement: Evidence from Big Field Experiments at Facebook

Marketing Science · 2019

For your marketing

Treat attribution models as hypotheses and validate them against holdouts where possible. When experiments are infeasible, document assumptions and do not present platform-attributed conversions as incremental impact.

Plain-English take

Commonly used observational approaches based on industry-available data often failed to accurately measure the true advertising effect in these comparisons.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4.0/5

Where Does Advertising Content Lead You? We Created a Bookstore to Find Out

Marketing Science · 2024

For your marketing

Test how creative changes demand across audience segments, not only average clicks. Identify which visitors the message attracts or repels and connect ad response to meaningful product outcomes.

Plain-English take

Ad content can polarize consumer responses.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4.0/5

When Less Is More: Data and Power in Advertising Experiments

Marketing Science · 2017

For your marketing

Plan experiments around outcome variance and expected effect size. Large audiences alone do not guarantee useful estimates; choose an outcome and design that can detect a decision-relevant change.

Plain-English take

The paper's main point is that more granular data do not necessarily make advertising effects easier to estimate and examines tradeoffs between measurement precision and experimentation resources.

AdvertisingBuyer behavior
Evidence check: 4.0/5

Effects of Internet Display Advertising in the Purchase Funnel: Model-Based Insights from a Randomized Field Experiment

Journal of Marketing Research · 2015

For your marketing

Measure how campaigns affect more than the final conversion event, while preserving the experimental control that supports causal estimates. Check the paper's full results before mapping its model to a SaaS funnel.

Plain-English take

The paper uses randomized exposure data to estimate how display advertising affects multiple purchase-funnel outcomes rather than relying only on last-click attribution.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4.5/5

Social Advertising Effectiveness Across Products: A Large-Scale Field Experiment

Marketing Science · 2020

For your marketing

When testing paid social, segment hypotheses by product and audience rather than assuming platform-wide average effectiveness. Use randomization and business outcomes to estimate your own incremental lift.

Plain-English take

The experiment finds meaningful differences across customers in social advertising lift across categories and user characteristics.

AdvertisingReviews
Evidence check: 2.5/5

Do More Likes Lead to More Clicks? Evidence from a Field Experiment on Social Advertising

Journal of Marketing Research · 2025

For your marketing

Social proof may matter more when brand familiarity is low, but the effect can depend on audience behavior. Test against downstream conversion and avoid optimizing for visible engagement alone.

Plain-English take

Displaying more likes increased click-through rates for lesser-known brands but not for well-known brands.

AdvertisingPricing
Evidence check: 2.5/5

The Category-Demand Effects of Price Promotions

Marketing Science · 2001

For your marketing

When discounting, separate category growth from switching between vendors or purchase timing. For software, define the analogous incremental outcome and test it against a non-discounted control.

Plain-English take

The research estimates category-demand expansion effects rather than only brand switching and tests how marketing intensity and competition moderate promotion response.

Advertising
Evidence check: 2.5/5

Online Display Advertising: Modeling the Effects of Multiple Creatives and Individual Impression Histories

Marketing Science · 2013

For your marketing

Treat creative sequence and repetition as testable variables. Log exposure history and compare conversion outcomes when rotating messages, while accounting for audience and frequency differences.

Plain-English take

The model distinguishes exposure histories and creative content; simulations suggest advertisers can increase website visits and conversions by varying the creative shown to a person.

AdvertisingCloud computing
Evidence check: 2.5/5

Sunny, Rainy, and Cloudy with a Chance of Mobile Promotion Effectiveness

Marketing Science · 2017

For your marketing

A reminder that context can moderate campaign response. For location-sensitive products, test contextual variables with controlled allocation and include the cost and practical value of targeting.

Plain-English take

The study found that response was higher and faster in sunny than cloudy conditions, and lower and slower in rainy than cloudy conditions.

AdvertisingFree trialsProduct adoption
Evidence check: 2.5/5

Try It, You’ll Like It—Or Will You? The Perils of Early Free-Trial Promotions for High-Tech Service Adoption

Marketing Science · 2016

For your marketing

Design trials around the user's chance to experience core value and the maturity of the product. Track activation and service quality during the trial alongside conversion, and test timing in your own setting.

Plain-English take

The abstract characterizes free trials as a double-edged promotion: trial timing and how intensively consumers use the service during the trial matter to effectiveness, particularly while quality is uncertain and changing.

AdvertisingPricing
Evidence check: 4.0/5

Personalizing Ad Load to Optimize Subscription and Ad Revenues: Product Strategies Constructed from Experiments on Pandora

Marketing Science · 2025

For your marketing

Shows why ad load can have delayed effects and why short tests may miss them. Treat the numbers as a measurement-design example, not a target for SaaS paywalls or sponsorship inventory.

Plain-English take

Consumption responses took more than a year to stabilize, while subscription responses stabilized in under six months.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4.0/5

Advertising Spillovers: Evidence from Online Field Experiments and Implications for Returns on Advertising

Journal of Marketing Research · 2016

For your marketing

When evaluating category advertising, account for the possibility that your spend increases category interest while also helping alternatives. Incrementality and competitor outcomes matter alongside attributed conversions.

Plain-English take

Ads increased sales likelihood for the advertiser and also for nonadvertised restaurants that served the same cuisine and had high ratings.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4.0/5

Estimating the Value of Offsite Tracking Data to Advertisers: Evidence from Meta

Marketing Science · 2025

For your marketing

Useful for thinking about privacy-related measurement loss and incrementality, especially for small advertisers. The Meta campaign economics and targeting system are platform-specific and should not be treated as a universal CAC benchmark.

Plain-English take

The median cost per additional customer was estimated at $38.16 at baseline and $49.93 under the median loss in effectiveness when offsite data could not be used, a 31% increase.

Advertising
Evidence check: 2.5/5

Ghost Ads: Improving the Economics of Measuring Online Ad Effectiveness

Journal of Marketing Research · 2017

For your marketing

A foundational reference for asking an ad platform or analytics team how holdouts can measure incremental impact at lower cost. Use current, independently validated implementation details for any live test.

Plain-English take

In the demonstration campaign, retargeting lifted website visits by 17.2% and purchases by 10.5%.

Advertising
Evidence check: 2.5/5

Attributing Conversions in a Multichannel Online Marketing Environment: An Empirical Model and a Field Experiment

Journal of Marketing Research · 2014

For your marketing

A useful framework for considering channel sequence, carryover, and retargeting harm when last-click reports over-credit later touches. Pair modeled attribution with holdouts where feasible.

Plain-English take

Attribution based on estimated channel effects differed significantly from common metrics.

AdvertisingEmail marketingSales
Evidence check: 2.5/5

Linking Clicks to Bricks: Understanding the Effects of Email Advertising on Multichannel Sales

Information Systems Research · 2025

For your marketing

Encourages measuring email's full downstream value rather than clicks alone. For SaaS, connect email exposure to later product activation, opportunities, and revenue with a credible design.

Plain-English take

Email advertising was associated with increased sales across channels through higher purchase probability and a wider variety of products bought; effects varied across product types and customer segments.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4.5/5

Incentive Misalignments in Programmatic Advertising: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment

Management Science · 2023

For your marketing

Highlights the difference between predicting who will buy and identifying who changes behavior because of an ad. Ask for incrementality tests and examine whether optimization targets persuadable users.

Plain-English take

Ads increased purchase and return probabilities, but consumers targeted more aggressively were not more responsive to ads.

Advertising
Evidence check: 3.5/5

Combining Ad Targeting Techniques: Evidence from a Field Experiment in the Auto Industry

Management Science · 2025

For your marketing

A useful test idea for combining audience intent with page context and matching the creative to a meaningful next action. Measure pipeline or product activation beyond soft conversions.

Plain-English take

Combining contextual targeting with retargeting improved website visits, engagement, and soft conversions.

Advertising
Evidence check: 3.5/5

Effect of Temporal Spacing Between Advertising Exposures: Evidence from Online Field Experiments

Quantitative Marketing and Economics · 2015

For your marketing

Useful when testing retargeting frequency and lifecycle messaging cadence. Randomize timing, not only total impressions, and track downstream purchases over a sufficient window.

Plain-English take

Ads increased purchase likelihood and effects carried over to later purchase occasions.

AdvertisingPlatforms
Evidence check: 3.5/5

Parallel Experimentation and Competitive Interference on Online Advertising Platforms

Marketing Science · 2025

For your marketing

A useful caution for campaign tests run in competitive auctions: your measured lift may depend on what other advertisers are doing simultaneously. Coordinate or repeat tests when market conditions shift.

Plain-English take

Ignoring concurrent competitive actions can misestimate advertising lift by a factor of two or more, potentially changing budget decisions.

AdvertisingPlatforms
Evidence check: 4/5

Growing Two-Sided Networks by Advertising the User Base: A Field Experiment

Marketing Science · 2010

For your marketing

Use as a bounded example of growing two-sided networks by advertising the user base: a field experiment; compare its context and design with your own market before applying its result.

Plain-English take

Advertising the size/composition of the user base changed seller participation; the effective message depended on which side of the market was being recruited.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4/5

Identifying Influential and Susceptible Members of Social Networks

Science · 2012

For your marketing

Use as a bounded example of identifying influential and susceptible members of social networks; compare its context and design with your own market before applying its result.

Plain-English take

Influence and susceptibility varied systematically by age, gender, and marital status; network position and individual traits jointly predicted product adoption contagion.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4/5

Intervention Analysis of a Field Experiment to Assess the Buildup Effect of Advertising

Journal of Marketing Research · 1986

For your marketing

Use as a bounded example of intervention analysis of a field experiment to assess the buildup effect of advertising; compare its context and design with your own market before applying its result.

Plain-English take

Advertising effects accumulated over exposure and could not be represented adequately by a simple contemporaneous response; intervention analysis detected buildup dynamics.

Advertising
Evidence check: 3/5

Advertising Effects? An Elemental Experiment

Australasian Marketing Journal · 2018

For your marketing

Use as a bounded example of advertising effects? an elemental experiment; compare its context and design with your own market before applying its result.

Plain-English take

Specific advertising elements produced separable effects on attention, attitude, and response; aggregate creative labels obscured which elements drove performance.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4/5

Long Lags and Large Returns: Experimental Evidence from Advertising to Businesses

Management Science · 2025

For your marketing

Use this paper as evidence about long lags and large returns: experimental evidence from advertising to businesses in the stated context; compare its population, treatment and outcome with your own decision.

Plain-English take

Advertising to businesses generated unusually large returns relative to typical consumer-ad estimates; reported ROAS was 12.0 (95% CI 4.8–24.5), with long response lags.

AdvertisingFree trials
Evidence check: 2/5

Experience Effect in the Impact of Free Trial Promotions

Management Science · 2021

For your marketing

Use this paper as evidence about experience effect in the impact of free trial promotions in the stated context; compare its population, treatment and outcome with your own decision.

Plain-English take

Initial usage predicted redemption and subsequent usage change: redemption rose from low- to high-percentile users, while usage change rose weakly monotonically through the 90th percentile and was generally insignificant above it.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4/5

Does Advertising Serve as a Signal? Evidence from a Field Experiment in Mobile Search

The Review of Economic Studies · 2020

For your marketing

Use this study as a bounded example related to does advertising serve as a signal? evidence from a field experiment in mobile search; evaluate whether its customers, intervention and outcome match your own context.

Plain-English take

The study provides experimental evidence on whether advertising conveys product/firm quality information, rather than merely persuading; exact effect sizes are not asserted here because the fetched DOI page did not expose the full abstract.

AdvertisingSales
Evidence check: 4/5

Online Ads and Offline Sales: Measuring the Effect of Retail Advertising via a Controlled Experiment on Yahoo!

Quantitative Marketing and Economics · 2014

For your marketing

Use this study as a bounded example related to online ads and offline sales: measuring the effect of retail advertising via a controlled experiment on yahoo!; evaluate whether its customers, intervention and outcome match your own context.

Plain-English take

The experiment finds a positive causal effect of online advertising on retail sales, including offline purchases, and reports that the campaign was profitable. It demonstrates that display advertising can generate measurable sales beyond the online channel.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4/5

Online Display Advertising: Targeting and Obtrusiveness

Marketing Science · 2011

For your marketing

Use this study as a bounded example related to online display advertising: targeting and obtrusiveness; evaluate whether its customers, intervention and outcome match your own context.

Plain-English take

Context matching and obtrusiveness each raised purchase intent separately, but their combination was ineffective and performed worse than using only one; the negative interaction was strongest among people refusing to report income and privacy-sensitive categories.

Advertising
Evidence check: 2/5

Long-Run Effects of Promotion Depth on New Versus Established Customers: Three Field Studies

Marketing Science · 2004

For your marketing

Use this study as a bounded example related to long-run effects of promotion depth on new versus established customers: three field studies; evaluate whether its customers, intervention and outcome match your own context.

Plain-English take

Promotion depth has different long-run effects for new and established customers, demonstrating that the immediate response to a discount is not sufficient to evaluate its longer-run customer-growth consequences.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4/5

When Does Retargeting Work? Information Specificity in Online Advertising

Journal of Marketing Research · 2013

For your marketing

Use this study as a bounded example related to when does retargeting work? information specificity in online advertising; evaluate whether its customers, intervention and outcome match your own context.

Plain-English take

Switching on retargeting caused 14.6% more users to return within four weeks; effects decayed with time since the initial visit, 33% of first-week effect occurred on day one, and week-two advertising worked better after week-one exposure.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4/5

When Does Retargeting Work? Information Specificity in Online Advertising

Journal of Marketing Research · 2013

For your marketing

Use this study as a bounded example related to when does retargeting work? information specificity in online advertising; evaluate whether its customers, intervention and outcome match your own context.

Plain-English take

Dynamic retargeting was, on average, less effective than generic brand advertising, but the disadvantage disappeared or reversed when browsing behavior indicated that consumers had developed specific preferences (for example, after visiting review sites). The implication is that retargeting content should match the consumer's decision stage and information specificity.

AdvertisingPlatforms
Evidence check: 4/5

Cold Start to Improve Market Thickness on Online Advertising Platforms

Management Science · 2022

For your marketing

Use this study as a bounded example of cold start to improve market thickness on online advertising platforms; assess whether its population, intervention and outcome match your own decision.

Plain-English take

The algorithm increased cold-start success rate by 61.62%, with a 0.717% short-term-revenue compromise. It increased overall advertising-market thickness by 3.13% and long-term advertising revenue by at least 5.35%.

AdvertisingPricing
Evidence check: 4/5

From Free to Paid: Monetizing a Non-Advertising-Based App

Journal of Marketing Research · 2023

For your marketing

Use this study as a bounded example of from free to paid: monetizing a non-advertising-based app; assess whether its population, intervention and outcome match your own decision.

Plain-English take

Soft landing and exclusive secondary offerings each reduced existing users' willingness to subscribe, but their interaction was positive. A second field experiment produced consistent results, and the paper reports the firm's implementation of the best-performing strategy.

Advertising
Evidence check: 2.5/5

How Effective Are Groupon Promotions for Businesses?

Management Science · 2016

For your marketing

Use the study to frame a pricing or packaging hypothesis and identify outcomes to measure; estimate effects with your own customer mix and willingness-to-pay evidence.

Plain-English take

Promotion effectiveness varies substantially by business and deal execution; the study evaluates whether deals are profitable rather than assuming sales volume equals success.

Advertising
Evidence check: 3.5/5

Personalized Online Advertising Effectiveness: The Interplay of What, When, and Where

Marketing Science · 2015

For your marketing

Use to shape a locally controlled channel or message test; account for audience, timing and attribution limits before reallocating budget.

Plain-English take

Effectiveness depends jointly on what is personalized, when the ad appears, and where it appears; well-targeted personalization can increase responsiveness.

Advertising
Evidence check: 4/5

Television Advertising and Online Shopping

Marketing Science · 2015

For your marketing

Use to shape a locally controlled channel or message test; account for audience, timing and attribution limits before reallocating budget.

Plain-English take

Television advertising changes online shopping activity, with effects varying by ad characteristics and shopping stage.

Advertising
Evidence check: 3.5/5

Which Firms Gain from Digital Advertising? Evidence from a Field Experiment

Marketing Science · 2023

For your marketing

Use to shape a locally controlled channel or message test; account for audience, timing and attribution limits before reallocating budget.

Plain-English take

Digital advertising gains differ across restaurant types; the experiment identifies which businesses benefit more from advertising.

Advertising
Evidence check: 3.5/5

The Importance of Trust for Personalized Online Advertising

Journal of Retailing · 2015

For your marketing

Use to shape a locally controlled channel or message test; account for audience, timing and attribution limits before reallocating budget.

Plain-English take

Greater personalization depth increased click-through only for a more trusted retailer and reduced it for a less trusted retailer; trust also shaped usefulness/reactance in the lab.

AdvertisingPlatforms
Evidence check: 3/5

An Empirical Analysis of Seller Advertising Strategies in an Online Marketplace

Information Systems Research · 2020

For your marketing

Use it to shape a local channel or message test; account for audience, timing and attribution limits before reallocating budget.

Plain-English take

Both tools increased traffic; only sponsored search significantly increased sales. Sponsored search worked better for low-reputation traffic and high-reputation sales; endorsement sales effects appeared only for high-reputation sellers.

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