Advertising · Advertising experiment and estimation-method study
Parallel Experimentation and Competitive Interference on Online Advertising Platforms
Marketing Science · 2025
Summary
Ignoring concurrent competitive actions can misestimate advertising lift by a factor of two or more, potentially changing budget decisions.
For your marketing
Possible founder application
A useful caution for campaign tests run in competitive auctions: your measured lift may depend on what other advertisers are doing simultaneously. Coordinate or repeat tests when market conditions shift.
Reported result
What the study found
Ignoring concurrent competitive actions can misestimate advertising lift by a factor of two or more, potentially changing budget decisions.
Research question
What the authors investigated
How can advertisers measure ad effects when multiple firms are experimenting at the same time on a platform?
Design
Develops an approach that accounts for parallel advertiser experiments and evaluates it using an experimental design on JD.com.
Sample and setting
Advertising experiments on JD.com, a large e-commerce platform and digital-ad publisher; exact sample counts are not in the abstract.
Scope and transfer
Limitations to keep in view
The publisher abstract does not state limitations or sample counts. The setting involves a major marketplace with overlapping advertiser campaigns.
Research sources
INFORMS publisher abstract retrieved with Firecrawl; the reported marketplace setting and effect-size warning are abstract-level.