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J·BJon BishopIndependent growth marketer

Retention · Random-forest churn prediction followed by a field experiment comparing risk-based and random targeting

Proactive customer retention management in a non-contractual B2B setting based on churn prediction with random forests

Industrial Marketing Management · 2022

Theresa Gattermann-Itschert, Ulrich W. Thonemann

Summary

Risk-based proactive contact reduced churn significantly versus random targeting and had positive revenue impact; recency, frequency, monetary value, and last field-representative contact were important features.

For your marketing

Possible founder application

Use as a bounded example of proactive customer retention management in a non-contractual b2b setting based on churn prediction with random forests; compare its context and design with your own market before applying its result.

Reported result

What the study found

Risk-based proactive contact reduced churn significantly versus random targeting and had positive revenue impact; recency, frequency, monetary value, and last field-representative contact were important features.

Research question

What the authors investigated

Proactive customer retention management in a non-contractual B2B setting based on churn prediction with random forests?

Design

Random-forest churn prediction followed by a field experiment comparing risk-based and random targeting

Sample and setting

Non-contractual B2B wholesale customer setting

Scope and transfer

Limitations to keep in view

The evidence comes from one wholesale B2B setting and a non-contractual context; model features and treatment effects may not transfer to contractual, consumer, or other industries. The accessible publisher page was used for this listing; correction history was not independently checked.

Research sources

The article reports a B2B wholesale field experiment in which contacting customers with the highest predicted churn probabilities reduced population churn versus random targeting and improved revenue development. Publisher page was directly retrieved; detailed full-text methods were not independently verified.

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