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J·BJon BishopIndependent growth marketer

Email marketing · Field experiment with retention, usage, and profit analysis

Does Customer Email Engagement Improve Profitability? Evidence from a Field Experiment in Subscription Service Retailing

Manufacturing & Service Operations Management · 2022

Yiwei Wang, Lauren Xiaoyuan Lu, Pengcheng Shi

Summary

A one-month program with two emails increased five-month retention likelihood by 7.4%, lowered churn odds by 26.3%, and raised per-period service use by 7.0%.

For your marketing

Possible founder application

The core lesson is to evaluate lifecycle email against retention, usage, and margin by segment. A message that lifts engagement can still lose money for some cohorts.

Reported result

What the study found

A one-month program with two emails increased five-month retention likelihood by 7.4%, lowered churn odds by 26.3%, and raised per-period service use by 7.0%. Estimated profitability varied by subscriber tier and usage frequency; the authors recommend selectively targeting profitable groups.

Research question

What the authors investigated

Does email engagement raise subscription retention and usage, and is it profitable for every subscriber segment?

Design

Field experiment at a subscription-service retailer, analyzing retention and consumption with survival and difference-in-differences methods.

Sample and setting

Subscribers of a large U.S. car-wash chain with tiered subscriptions and RFID-tracked visits.

Scope and transfer

Limitations to keep in view

A single physical subscription service; the abstract does not provide sample size or detailed randomization information. Segment profitability depends on this firm's service costs and customer behavior.

Research sources

INFORMS publisher abstract retrieved with Firecrawl; results and segment-specific recommendation follow the abstract.

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