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J·BJon BishopIndependent growth marketer

Advertising and promotion · Large randomized controlled display-advertising field experiment: eligible customers were randomly assigned to receive retail ads or a control condition, with purchases measured using the retailer's transaction data, including offline sales.

Online Ads and Offline Sales: Measuring the Effect of Retail Advertising via a Controlled Experiment on Yahoo!

Randall A. Lewis, David H. Reiley (2014). Online Ads and Offline Sales: Measuring the Effect of Retail Advertising via a Controlled Experiment on Yahoo!. Quantitative Marketing and Economics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11129-014-9146-6

Quantitative Marketing and Economics · 2014DOI: 10.1007/s11129-014-9146-6 ↗

Plain-English take

The experiment finds a positive causal effect of online advertising on retail sales, including offline purchases, and reports that the campaign was profitable. It demonstrates that display advertising can generate measurable sales beyond the online channel.

How much weight to give this

4/5 Field or experimental evidence with bounded scope

The 1–5 evidence-check score is a practical reading aid, not a formal peer review or a probability that a conclusion is true. It combines design strength (2 points), sample reporting (1), comparison/control clarity (1), and how much of the paper could be checked (1). Access affects how confidently this directory can assess a study, not the study's underlying quality. Blinding is reported separately because it is not relevant to every design.

Design · 2/2

Large randomized controlled display-advertising field experiment: eligible customers were randomly assigned to receive retail ads or a control condition, with purchases measured using the retailer's transaction data, including offline sales.

Sample · 0.5/1

Approximately 1.6 million existing customers of a major retailer reached through Yahoo! advertising; the outcome was subsequent retailer purchasing rather than only online clicks or pixel conversions.

Comparison · 1/1

Review the paper for comparison conditions and analysis.

Can we check it? · 0/1

Publisher record checked; detailed methods were not verified.

Double-blind? Blinding was not established from the publisher page.

Research question

What the authors investigated

What does online ads and offline sales: measuring the effect of retail advertising via a controlled experiment on yahoo! show about customer behavior or marketing outcomes?

Design

Large randomized controlled display-advertising field experiment: eligible customers were randomly assigned to receive retail ads or a control condition, with purchases measured using the retailer's transaction data, including offline sales.

Sample and setting

Approximately 1.6 million existing customers of a major retailer reached through Yahoo! advertising; the outcome was subsequent retailer purchasing rather than only online clicks or pixel conversions.

Reported result

What the study found

The experiment finds a positive causal effect of online advertising on retail sales, including offline purchases, and reports that the campaign was profitable. It demonstrates that display advertising can generate measurable sales beyond the online channel.

This is a paraphrase of the source. Check the original paper for definitions, estimates, statistical uncertainty and analysis details.

Scope and transfer

Limitations to keep in view

The evidence is from one major retailer, one campaign/advertising environment, and primarily existing customers, limiting external validity to other advertisers, prospecting campaigns, products, and platforms. Because the treatment is an advertising bundle delivered through Yahoo!, the experiment does not separately identify creative, placement, frequency, or targeting mechanisms. Full-text methods and correction history were not independently checked.

Possible founder application

Use this study as a bounded example related to online ads and offline sales: measuring the effect of retail advertising via a controlled experiment on yahoo!; evaluate whether its customers, intervention and outcome match your own context.

Evidence access

Publisher page; full-text availability varies and was not established.

Study metadata and reported results were cross-checked against a direct publisher-page retrieval; detailed full-text methods were not reviewed.

If only an abstract or metadata was available, the profile is limited to claims supported there. A paper's paywall does not change its evidentiary status, but it limits what we can substantiate from accessible text.

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