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J·BJon BishopIndependent growth marketer

Pricing and product adoption · Seventy field experiments on targeted email offers

Do Targeted Discount Offers Serve as Advertising? Evidence from 70 Field Experiments

Sahni, N. S., Zou, D., & Chintagunta, P. K. (2017). Management Science, 63(8). https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2016.2450.

Management Science · 2017DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2016.2450 ↗

Plain-English take

During the offer period, offers increased average expenditure by $3.03 (37.2%). For your marketing: Measure discount-induced acquisition and spillovers separately from subsidized purchases.

How much weight to give this

3.5/5 Useful evidence with meaningful caveats

The 1–5 evidence-check score is a practical reading aid, not a formal peer review or a probability that a conclusion is true. It combines design strength (2 points), sample reporting (1), comparison/control clarity (1), and how much of the paper could be checked (1). Access affects how confidently this directory can assess a study, not the study's underlying quality. Blinding is reported separately because it is not relevant to every design.

Design · 1.7/2

An experiment is useful for causal evidence, but the accessible profile does not establish random assignment.

Sample · 0.4/1

A usable sample size is not stated in the profile's accessible source.

Comparison · 0.8/1

Experimental comparison is described; randomization or control details need checking in the paper.

Can we check it? · 0.5/1

This profile could be checked against an abstract or metadata, not the full paper.

Double-blind? Blinding is not reported in the source reviewed; that does not establish whether blinding was or was not used.

Research question

What the authors investigated

Do targeted emailed discounts only shift price-sensitive purchases, or can they also advertise products and stimulate additional demand?

Design

The authors analyze evidence from 70 field experiments involving emailed discount offers and measure spending during and after the promotion window.

Sample and setting

Customers of an online platform receiving targeted emailed offers; the accessible abstract excerpt does not state the total customer count.

Reported result

What the study found

During the offer period, offers increased average expenditure by $3.03 (37.2%). The effect was larger among customers who had not transacted on the platform in the prior year. Spending also rose by $1.55 in the following week, and the study found cross-category effects on products not covered by an offer.

This is a paraphrase of the source. Check the original paper for definitions, estimates, statistical uncertainty and analysis details.

Scope and transfer

Limitations to keep in view

A specific platform and promotion setting; the outcomes cover a defined promotion window and one week afterward. The effects do not establish that discounts are profitable after subsidy costs or will behave similarly in SaaS.

Possible founder application

Measure discount-induced acquisition and spillovers separately from subsidized purchases. Include margin, timing shifts and post-promotion behavior when judging whether offers function as profitable advertising.

Evidence access

Publisher abstract; full text access may vary

Management Science abstract and bibliographic record; the 70 experiments and reported spending changes are stated in the abstract.

If only an abstract or metadata was available, the profile is limited to claims supported there. A paper's paywall does not change its evidentiary status, but it limits what we can substantiate from accessible text.

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